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                                                           Waymo’s Robotaxi Program: Progress and Potential






































        Figure 2: Waymo’s VMT numbers took off after 2015.

        to 2018. There is less data on driverless mileage growth. Figure 2 is a   any other company. The latest data, released in December 2024, shows
        summary of public data and an estimate through 2024 for self-driving   that cumulative rider-only miles had surpassed 50 million. The report
        and driverless VMT. Waymo started self-driving trials in 2009, and it   also provides data on robotaxi crash rates compared with crashes
        took six years to reach the first million miles, in June 2015. The pace   involving human drivers in Phoenix and San Francisco, and the data is
        picked up considerably in 2016. Waymo logged 4 million miles by   encouraging.
        November 2017 and reached 10 million miles less than a year later, in   This article section analyzes known public data from Waymo to
        October 2018. Most of the VMT were in California and Arizona, but   project Waymo’s driverless miles, number of rides, robotaxi revenue,
        Waymo tested in four other states, with trials in Atlanta; Detroit;    and other data for the next three years.
        Austin, Texas; and Kirkwood, Washington.                Table 1 summarizes Waymo’s public data on cumulative auton-
          Waymo’s Early Rider program in Phoenix was a key mileage growth   omous VMT. There are six datasets, starting in December 2022 and
        driver. By the end of the first year, in June 2018, Waymo was driving   ending in December 2024. The data includes cumulative miles by
        24,000 miles per day, translating to a yearly run rate of more than    city, with the number of cities increasing from two to four in the last
        8 million miles. The Phoenix Early Rider program was the main factor   dataset.
        in Waymo’s VMT growth.                                  Waymo has also released data on weekly paid rides over six time
          In October 2020, Waymo started rider-only, or robotaxi, deployment   periods, as shown in Table 2. The first data point was released in
        in Phoenix with paid customers, and the rider-only service became the   May 2023 and reported 10,000 rides per week. The latest data point,
        main category for AV VMT growth. Self-driving and driverless miles   released on April 24, 2025, reported 250,000 rides per week, a
        continued to rise in Waymo’s new testing cities.      twenty-fivefold increase in weekly ridership in less than two years.
                                                                 Waymo provided an extra data point for October 2024 showing that
        WAYMO’S RIDER-ONLY PUBLIC DATA                        weekly VMT had reached the 1 million mark, with weekly ridership at
        Waymo has provided more data on its robotaxi service expansion than   150,000 rides. Those numbers suggest an average of 6.67 miles per ride,


                         Table 1: Waymo Rider-Only Public Data: Cumulative VMT (in thousands of miles)

               Cities       December 2022    July 2023   October 2023   March 2024     June 2024    December 2024
            Los Angeles          —             —              —             60            855          5,165
            San Francisco        97           1,030          1,190         3,830         5,931         16,032

              Phoenix           903           2,480         5,950         10,920        15,399         28,331
               Austin            —             —              —             —             14            555
              All cities       1,000          3,870         7,140         14,810        22,199         50,083
                              (Source: Various Waymo public documents; Data compilation: Egil Juliussen, March 2025)



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