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                                                        Consumer 5G Opens Door to Development Opportunities














































           for this new generation of products. Indeed,   billion, boosting the performance of    is very likely that the other Chinese OEMs,
           as was the case with 4G, there are multiple   all companies operating in this market,   fearing the same difficulties, will also push
           levels of 5G support, and they have direct   including Skyworks, Qorvo, Broadcom,   for an alternative supply chain to emerge in
           repercussions on pricing. The bill of materials   Murata, Qualcomm, and others. As detailed    China. Indeed, we have seen many funding
           will vary depending on whether the phone   in its report “Cellular RF Front-End    rounds there since 2018 from fabless compa-
           supports mmWave, the number of 5G/4G band   Technologies for Mobile Handset 2021,”    nies dedicated to RF front-end development.
           combinations, and so on. If we look closely   Yole Développement expects further growth   Though still far from the scale of the current
           at the RF front-end level — that is, at the   in 2021, to US$17 billion, and an annual   market leaders (Skyworks, Qorvo, Qualcomm,
           semiconductor content responsible for the   growth rate of 8.3% between 2019 and 2026.  Broadcom, and Murata), these companies will
           signal routing between the modem and the                                try to take advantage of the Chinese smart-
           smartphone antennas — it appears that there   WHO WILL BE THE 5G RF FRONT-END   phone OEMs’ dominant position.
           is up to a fivefold difference in the bills of   MARKET LEADERS?          With this emerging competition coming
           material between an entry-level 5G phone and   When 4G arrived, the RF front-end market   from China, U.S.-based market leaders will
           a flagship 5G phone.                landscape became completely consolidated   continue innovating to maintain their
             In any case, this new generation of com-  and saw the exit of some big companies. The   leadership positions. ■
           munications technology is adding a lot more   leading RF front-end companies were able
           complexity to the signal routing and there-  to offer highly integrated components that   Cédric Malaquin is a tech-
           fore adds semiconductor content for the RF   solved the challenge of the complex radio   nology and market analyst
           front end compared with 4G. This challenging   path, and as a result, they now hold more   specializing in RF devices and
           situation for smartphone OEMs represents   than 85% of the market. 5G is no different; in   technologies for the Power &
           an interesting business opportunity for all   fact, it only increases the complexity. Thus,   Wireless division at Yole Développement.
           RF front-end players. Before 5G arrived, the   companies offering a high level of integration
           RF front-end market was experiencing slow   should be well-positioned to tackle the RF   Mohammed Tmimi is a tech-
           growth, in the range of US$11 billion to    front-end space.                     nology and market analyst for
           US$12 billion for the 2017–2019 period, mostly   Even as 5G is advancing, however, geopolit-  the RF Devices & Technologies
           driven by OEMs’ willingness to include LTE   ical issues are forcing a paradigm shift.   group at Yole Développement.
           advanced support in their products. As a result,   Indeed, the U.S.-China trade war has led
           most of the growth came from flagship phones.  to commercial sanctions against one of the   Antoine Bonnabel is a technol-
              In calendar year 2020, the penetration of   leading OEMs, Huawei. That company today   ogy and market analyst focused
           5G affected not only flagship phones but also   is in a tough situation and will survive only if   on RF devices and related technol-
           mid-tier and entry-level phones. As a result,   it manages to develop an alternative supply   ogies and markets for the Power
           the RF front-end market jumped to US$14   chain without U.S.-based technologies. It   & Wireless division at Yole Développement.

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