Page 22 - EE Times Europe September 2021
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22 EE|Times EUROPE



            SPECIAL REPORT: EVs
           Price, Range, Choice Are Keys to BEV Success


           By Egil Juliussen


                 he expansion of charging infrastruc-  The US$100/kWh price yields a price tag of   Home charging for BEVs is a great benefit
                 ture is among the keys to future   US$6,000 for a 60-kWh battery system.  but primarily works for BEV owners with
                 battery electric vehicle (BEV) suc-  BNEF forecasts a battery price of    a garage. A large BEV charging network is
           T cess, as is the ability to recycle and   US$58/kWh in 2030, meaning the 60-kWh   required in every country to ensure successful
           swap batteries.                     battery system will cost less than US$3,500 in   BEV adoption.
             BEVs are on a growth path and on the way   2030. That forecast shows that BEVs are on a   Charging frequency is also important,
           to surpassing internal combustion engine   path to lower purchase prices than ICEVs.  depending on annual miles driven and BEV
           vehicles (ICEVs) in a decade or so. EVs are far   Additionally, there are many other BEV   range. The current range of newer models is
           from perfect, however, and will require many   systems advancing in multiple ways. Volume   more than 250 miles, with some BEV models
           improvements to live up to their promise of   use of BEV technology is only a decade old,   exceeding 400 miles. Larger battery size and
           greatly lowering auto emissions. To continue   and there is much innovation to come — from   better powertrain efficiency are expected to
           BEV growth, technology advances are needed,   motor and charging technology to solar cells   increase BEV range significantly in the future.
           along with continued investments from auto   on car roofs and much more.  The average annual total of miles driven
           OEMs and their suppliers. Car buyers will                               per car in the U.S. is 13,500 miles, based on
           need more data, more product variety, and   CHARGING TIME               2019 Federal Highway Administration data.
           much-improved infrastructure for using BEVs.  BEVs currently require long charging   If we assume a BEV range of 300 miles and
             The table below provides an overview of   times, depending on the power available at   a recharge averaging every 250 miles, the
           what BEV improvements are needed.   charging points. Using 115-V or 220-V cur-  result is approximately a weekly recharging
                                               rent usually means overnight charging. Fast   (54 times per year). However, range anxiety is
           LOWER PRICES                        chargers that can charge in 30 to 60 minutes   likely to create more recharging events. BEV
           Declining BEV purchase price remains the   are becoming more widely available, but   owners with home charging are also likely to
           most important factor for many potential   much more is needed.         charge their vehicles more often.
           buyers — at least until BEVs reach price   This long charging time is a significant
           parity with other popular auto segments. In   disadvantage versus refueling a gas tank in   CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE
           2020, the average price per kilowatt-hour was   just a few minutes.     The expansion of a charging infrastructure is
           US$137, according to BloombergNEF (BNEF).   BEV charging is improving via both    a key factor in future BEV success. Accessible
           Some BEV manufacturers, including Tesla,   higher-power and faster-charging systems,   charging stations will be required for BEV
           offer lower battery prices.         and future battery technologies will feature   users without a home charger and will be
             The typical battery size for BEVs is about   faster-charging technology. The improve-  needed for all long-distance travel.
           60 kWh, which means the batteries cost   ments are not sufficient to match ICEV   Where to locate charging stations will be
           about US$8,200 at the US$137 price point.   refueling times but will probably be good   important in minimizing the impact of BEVs’
           ICEV price parity for BEVs is about    enough for the vast majority of BEV users. It   long charging times. Existing gas station net-
           US$100/kWh, which is likely to happen as   is possible that future BEV charging technol-  works will certainly add BEV charging points
           early as 2023, according to battery experts.   ogy will match ICEV refueling time.  to attract business, including the potential
                                                                                   higher product sales from BEV owners. With
                                                                                   longer refueling times, BEVs’ profitable prod-
                                                                                   uct sales may be larger than for ICEVs.
                                                                                     BEV charging locations need to be where
                                                                                   owners regularly spend an hour or so. This
                                                                                   includes workplaces, shopping centers,
                                                                                   restaurants, and other entertainment venues.
                                                                                   Tesla is using this approach as part of its
                                                                                   charging network location strategy.
                                                                                     Wireless charging is becoming popular for
                                                                                   smartphones. Similar technologies are avail-
                                                                                   able for BEVs but are not yet ready for volume
                                                                                   deployment. Most wireless charging technol-
                                                                                   ogies are more efficient than wired charging
                                                                                   because the wireless systems generate less
                                                                                   heat. On the other hand, wireless chargers are
                                                                                   more complex to deploy than wired versions.
                                                                                   BEVs must also be modified to include the
                                                                                   electronics for wireless charging.
                                                                                     Battery swapping, instead of charging,
                                                                                   is another option. Speed is the key advan-
                                                                                   tage. Battery swapping is primarily available
                                                                                   in China, with strong growth of the trend
                                                                                   expected. China has adopted a standard for

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