Page 15 - EE Times Europe September 2021
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                                                           Is the Spec for Vehicle Automation Levels a Dead End?


                                                                                     Pause and consider that every Waymo
                                                                                   test vehicle is outfitted with more sensors and
                                                                                   processors than nearly all privately owned
                                                                                   passenger vehicles, yet when operating in
                                                                                   manual (human-driven) mode, the
                                                                                   collision-avoidance technology was insuf-
                                                                                   ficient to even prevent a collision with a
                                                                                   scooter.
                                                                                     How worried are San Franciscans now,
                                                                                   I wonder?
                                                                                     AEB Vulnerable Road User (AEB-VRU)
                                                                                   has for several years been specified by the
                                                                                   European New Car Assessment Program (Euro
                                                                                   NCAP) for passenger vehicles. However, the
                                                                                   San Francisco incident implies that Waymo is
                                                                                   deploying test vehicles on public roads fitted
                                                                                   with collision-avoidance technology for man-
                                                                                   ual mode that does not even meet historical
           (Source: bit.ly/3ix3jgm)                                                Euro NCAP standards, let alone exceed the
                                                                                   current one.
                                                                                     Why are there no guidelines published by
                                                                                   the U.S. National Highway Transportation
                                                                                   Safety Administration (NHTSA) specifying
                                                                                   minimum AEB performance standards for test-
                                                                                   level AVs when operating in manual mode on
                                                                                   public roads? Also, why are there no guidelines
                                                                                   specifying minimum performance standards
                                                                                   for driver-monitoring systems to assess dis-
                                                                                   traction and fatigue in human backup drivers?
                                                                                     These are two obvious safety cases that
                                                                                   have been overlooked.
                                                                                     While little can be expected of AV foxes
                                                                                   guarding the public hen house, the regulatory
                                                                                   environment shifted dramatically recently
                                                                                   when NHTSA required operators of test-level
                                                                                   AVs to report all crashes, with the publication
                                                                                   of a Standing General Order.
                                                                                     This is likely to be the first of several
                                                                                   significant changes to the regulatory environ-
           (Source: bit.ly/3kL76JA)                                                ment for AV testing and development, with
                                                                                   lawmakers now increasingly questioning the
           that the answer might be about 2 billion miles   expensive cul-de-sac in history?  promises of the AV industry while listening
           (see above slide).                                                      carefully to safety advocacy groups such as
             If Waymo Driver has accumulated “over   SCOOTERS, NHTSA, AND NCAP     Consumer Reports and the Center for Auto
           20 million miles on real-world roads since   In February, Waymo announced expanded   Safety, which are pushing instead for proven
           2009” (waymo.com/safety), then that equates   testing to include San Francisco. In an accom-  vehicle safety technology such as AEB, DMS,
           to only 1% of the necessary distance esti-  panying blog post, the company observed:   and lane-departure warning systems to
           mated by Koopman. For all the press hype   “When asked to name factors making it hard   become mandatory.
           over Level 4 autonomous driving, these   to get around the city, 63% of respondents   Keeping the human driver attentive and
           calculations imply the technology requires   pointed to dangerous drivers, 74% to parking,   engaged is the primary role of DMS. In
           way more money, time, and testing before   and 57% to stressful commutes. Worryingly,   comparison, AEB and lane-keeping systems
           the suppliers are anywhere close to proving   nearly a quarter didn’t feel safe on San    provide longitudinal speed assist and lateral
           the safety case.                    Francisco’s roads at all.”          lane support, respectively. These proven
             In which case, please allow me to introduce   San Franciscans’ worries probably weren’t   vehicle safety technologies look set to save
           Waymore.                            soothed when a Waymo test vehicle then   many more lives in the decades ahead than
             This analysis suggests many more testing   promptly collided with a pedestrian riding   anything “self driving” at Levels 3, 4, or 5.
           miles to go, prompting me to question    a scooter. In a statement, Waymo said: “The   Although well-known and widely refer-
           whether investors in the Level 4 suppliers   autonomous specialist had recently disen-  enced, perhaps the J3016 spec just isn’t that
           truly grasp the scale of the challenge ahead   gaged the vehicle from autonomous mode and   helpful after all. ■
           and have the money, patience, and nerve to   was driving in manual mode when the vehicle
           complete the journey.               entered the intersection and made the left   Colin Barnden is lead analyst at Semicast
             Or did the comfort blanket of J3016 and the   turn. After turning, and while still in manual   Research and EE Times’ “Seriously Skeptical”
           promises of autonomous driving technology   mode, the vehicle came into contact with an   columnist. This article originally appeared
           inadvertently create the longest, most    individual on a motorized scooter.”  on EE Times.

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