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           AV Complexity Explained

















             As AV regulations are introduced, safety and operational rules must   The chart shows how various AV use cases fit into a two-
           be included as part of the system and reliability design.  dimensional space, with AV complexity increasing on the y-axis and
             Also needed are hardware redundancy within the system design. At   driving complexity growing on the x-axis. Driving complexity includes
           least three AV systems require redundancy: driving controls (steer-  route obstacles, driving speed, traffic density, road-user variety (cars,
           ing, braking, speed), vision sensor capabilities (three categories), and   bikes, pedestrians, etc.), and weather conditions. Fatality risks are
           computing.                                            also listed, mostly determined by speed. Some AV use cases have very
             The system architecture must use technologies that can simplify   low fatality risks.
           software platform cooperation, allowing strong cybersecurity and OTA
           updates. A recent column covered these topics (bit.ly/3A5wVbR).  LOW AV COMPLEXITY
             These systems remain quite expensive and will require significant   Low AV complexity refers to simple routes, low speed, and low user or
           cost reductions. Fortunately, chip-based technologies are providing   traffic variety. At the simplest level, operation is restricted to closed
           substantial cost savings, especially for the most expensive compo-  areas such as a campus, office park, or military base. Sidewalk delivery
           nent: LiDAR.                                          vehicles are furthest along, with multiple players. Starship, the side-
             Simulation of AV components is critical, including software and   walk AV leader, surpassed 1.5 million deliveries in May 2021 and will
           hardware as well as all types of testing and modeling.  soon surpass 2 million deliveries.
             AV event data recorders will be required to gain insights into crashes   Fixed-route AVs also have low AV complexity, and the market niche
           and what can be done to improve safety. Teleoperation is also becoming   includes multiple players. Deployment has been slow because of high
           standard in AV regulation and can be the key to limp-home capabilities   AV prices, but fixed-route AVs have been undergoing testing in hun-
           while solving edge cases.                             dreds of cities. Applications include low-complexity bus routes and/or
             Problem No. 3 is developing a software-based driver that can drive   closed environments.
           better than a human, though how much better is still being debated.   Fixed-route AVs are also likely to be used on flexible trips such as
           It’s clear that AV developers must continue to test and improve their   on-demand pickups. The ISO 22737 low-speed autonomous driving
           systems. Development time will depend on the use cases.  (LSAD) regulation, released in July 2021, should have positive impact
             Edge case testing is used extensively and basically means find-   on fixed-route AV deployment.
           ing new driving situations that the software driver has not seen   Goods-only AVs for last-mile deliveries bring with them more traffic
           before and may not know how to handle. Adding new edge cases    complexity, navigating roads at higher speeds than sidewalk AVs. Vans
           to the software-based driver capability is considered perhaps the   and small trucks can also be retrofitted as AV delivery vehicles. They
           highest priority.                                     are undergoing testing using safety drivers.
             Another hard problem is confirming that AV software-based drivers
           can outperform human drivers. It’s unclear how AV regulations and   MEDIUM AV COMPLEXITY
           future AV type approval will handle this important problem.  This category includes several AV scenarios. Low-speed goods AVs
             Solutions mostly involve testing, analysis of vast amounts of test   without a safety driver are in this category. Autonomous trucks with
           data to identify software driver weaknesses, and then more testing.   hub-to-hub routes may also be included but, for now, require a safety
           Fortunately, much of this testing can be
           simulated at a much higher rate than road
           testing — up to 100× more miles per day in
           simulation mode versus road testing. Those
           simulations are focused on edge cases and
           similar scenarios.
             Testing must include different weather
           and lighting conditions. Most historical AV
           testing has been done in ideal weather condi-
           tions; hence, the need for greater real-world
           simulations.

           AV USE CASES
         IMAGE: SHUTTERSTOCK  considerably depending on the AV use case.
           The complexities just described will vary
           AV complexity is mostly decided by driving
           complexity. The figure to the right is an
           overview of AV use-case complexity, focused
           on SAE L4 deployments. Many variations of
           these scenarios are not included.

           SEPTEMBER 2021 | www.eetimes.eu
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