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           OPINION | MARKET & TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
                                                                                   global supply chain. This has been driven by
           Electronics in Europe:                                                  China’s continued growth, which has made
                                                                                   it an influential economic actor, and the
                                                                                   Chinese leadership’s increasingly assertive
           Dead, Dying, or Reviving?                                               foreign policy.
                                                                                   SUPPLY CHAIN COMPLEXITY
                                                                                   Finally, the sheer complexity and interdepen-
           By Nick Wood, Insight SiP                                               dency of electronics supply chains have been
                                                                                   harshly revealed, in some cases by random
                                                                                   events. In 2020, a factory owned by Asahi
                               2021 has seen a severe supply crunch in electronic components,   Kasei Microsystem (AKM) in Japan caught fire
                               particularly silicon chips and crystals. The prolonged shortage has   and was destroyed. This seemingly obscure
                               catapulted an industry story onto the front pages. It is one thing    event — at a company unknown even to many
                               for electronics supply managers to be under increased stress.    industry insiders — has led to mass product
                               It is quite another when a car factory shuts down because it can’t    shortages. The factory was a critical supplier,
                               get components.                                     with up to 90% market share for semiconduc-
                                The electronic component industry is notoriously cyclical, with   tors in certain temperature-controlled crystal
                               regular periods of feast or famine. The current component short-  oscillators (TCXOs). Because these small,
                               age can be traced to typical immediate causes: a miscalculation of   cheap components are essential for many
           demand with the corresponding lack of supply in development and a scramble to catch up.   electronic devices and are not easily replaced,
             However, the 2021 chip crisis has led to a more sustained period of soul searching in the West,   the loss of the AKM factory had devastating
           particularly in Europe. Recent events have led us to question whether we have collectively made   ripple effects.
           at best a wrong turn or at worst a strategic blunder of potentially catastrophic proportions.
                                                                                   SEMICONDUCTOR SITUATION
           PANDEMIC’S IMPACT                                                       While AKM’s centrality to the TCXO market
           First, the pandemic highlighted the fragility of our supply chains and our dependence on distant   is an extreme example, semiconductor
           factories. It was shocking to realize our “developed” economies were incapable of providing   manufacturing is concentrated among
           simple products like face masks. It showed how in times of crisis, normally commercial con-  relatively few companies in a relatively small
           siderations were trumped (and, indeed, Trumped) by nationalistic impulses. Globalization has   geographic region. Taiwan Semiconductor
           delivered economic benefits, but the crisis revealed that the associated limitations and risks are   Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) has an estimated
           poorly understood.                                                      28% market share, followed by Taiwan’s
                                                                                   United Microelectronics Corp., at 13%, and
           THE CHINA FACTOR                                                        then China’s Semiconductor Manufacturing
           Second, perceptions of China have changed dramatically over the last decade from a convenient   International Corp. (SMIC) and South Korea’s
           place to reduce costs to a potentially hostile foreign power that controls critical parts of the   Samsung, with roughly 10% apiece. If a
                                                                                   factory fire can cause disruption, what would
                                                                                   happen if a major natural disaster or political
                                                                                   upheaval hit Taiwan?

                                                                                   GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN: STILL VALID?
                                                                                   In contrast to Asia, Europe has largely left
                                                                                   the electronic components field, with the
                                                                                   exception of a few low-volume, specialized
                                                                                   niches, such as military and aerospace and
                                                                                   some limited in-house capabilities. The “fab-
                                                                                   less fashion” has taken root more firmly here
                                                                                   than anywhere. There are still big names in
                                                                                   electronic components: large companies with
                                                                                   a long history such as STMicroelectronics
                                                                                   and rising stars including Nordic Semicon-
                                                                                   ductor and Arm, which never intended to
                                                                                   make anything yet have their technology in
                                                                                   most mobile devices. The thinking is that
                                                                                   “high value” activity such as design is done
                                                                                   in Europe, with manufacturing conducted by
                                                                                   subsidiaries in Asia or outsourced to indepen-
                                                                                   dent companies typically in Asia.
                                                                                     The next stage in the supply chain is also
                                                                                   dominated by Asia: Asian factories make most
                                                                                   system-in-package (SiP) devices and assemble
                                                                                   most PCBs.
                                                                                     Historically, companies outsource to China
                                                                                   and other Asian countries to save money.

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